Remember when I said Week 1 could be a doozie because no one, apparently including myself, really knew what was going on with each team? Well I was correct in that sense at least.
We went 1-2, with the only win in Oakland +2 actually being suggested by Donald. Cincinnati looked terrible and got spanked by Baltimore. It was great to see my home team win, but it kind of sucks because I knew I was losing money. Washington lost fairly easily to Philadelphia thanks to the Nelson Agholor show, so let’s assume that was just unlucky. Not a great week for us, but we will persevere.
Just as a head’s up to the Degenerates, I’ll be on vacation this coming week, so I’m not sure who will be supplying the direction to feed you gambling addiction.
Anyway, we’ll get down to it. As I’ve stated before, last week was a minor setback for a major comeback.
Houston @ Cincinnati -6.5
Tennessee @ Jacksonville +2
Cleveland @ Baltimore -8
Buffalo @ Carolina -7
New England @ New Orleans +6.5
Arizona @ Indianapolis +7.5
Philadelphia @ Kansas City -5.5
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh -6
Chicago @ Tampa Bay -7
Miami @ LA Chargers –4.5
New York Jets @ Oakland -14
Washington @ LA Rams -2.5
Dallas @ Denver +2
San Francisco @ Seattle -14
Green Bay @ Atlanta -3
Detroit @ New York Giants -3.5
Picks of the Week
Tennessee -2: Home Underdogs frequently scare me. I sometimes wake up in the middle of the night with a cold sweat just thinking about it. I can’t help it.
Home field is typically worth about 3 points, so if this game would be played in Tennessee this week, it would be Titans -5. I don’t think Tennessee looked good by any means last week, but they did play an Oakland team who went 12-4 last year. This week they face the Jaguars, a stinky team who can run, but Tennessee ranked 2nd in run defense last year. Tennessee should rely more on the running backs in Murray/Henry this week against a Jaguar defense who wasn’t terrible, but definitely not great in 2016, ranking 19th in rush defense. I see Young Marcus emerging victorious, covering the -2 on the road.
Miami +4.5: I haaaaaate that I’m betting on Smokin’ Jay in his first game with Miami, but I’ll do it anyway. I am not a believer in the Chargers by any means, but Melvin Gordon does worry me. Miami ranked 30th in rush defense last season, which obviously isn’t good. Somehow I think Miami still pull this off, as that extra week of rest may have helped them gameplan better (hopefully). Take the risk and ride the Smokin’ Train to Moneytown (I’m sorry).
Washington +2.5: I don’t believe in Jared Goff's skill, I don’t believe in Los Angeles as a city, and I don’t believe anyone who says either of the two exist.
Washington will look to bounce back against a Rams team riding a high from demolishing the Colts. The war will be won in the trenches and I still believe that if the Rams’ offensive line is bad enough to prevent a talent like Gurley from truly succeeding against the Colts AWFUL rush defense, they won’t succeed against a slightly better Washington defense. Also, Kirk Cousins ain’t no Scott Tolzien.
Any Questions or Comments? Feel free to reach out to me on Twitter at @FFMilkman or leave a comment below!