Mike Streb ft. Donald Gibson
In the last article, I spoke about trusting me in your time of need. I spoke about how close we had been in our relationship over the last few months. I informed you that I was ready to take “us” to the next level.
Then I abandoned you.
left you to flutter alone for two weeks. Hopefully you were able to stay afloat.
The last time we spoke, I left you with a perfect 3-0 record. Is it a surprise at this point anymore? We are 22-11-3 on Best Bets this year. That’s essentially 67% winning percentage when you don’t count the pushes. I’ve never said I was perfect, but we have been damn near close enough.
On a serious note, I want to thank you for sticking with us this year. As a first-year website, we’ve had our own struggles. If you’ve stuck with us from the beginning, thank you. If you’ve just started visiting us, thank you.
Next year, we’re aiming to bring a few more contributors into the fold in order to bring more content and opinion. I think it’s safe to say that we started the year out very hot, with articles almost every day, then we just kind of fizzled a little bit. Next year we will be better across the board, so I hope that you continue to make us one of the various sources of NFL information and, as always, we aim to be the best at replying to any questions or opinions. I will continue to offer my best inputs for the rest of the playoffs so please continue to check back.
Without further ado:
At Houston (-3.5) - Oakland - 36.5
At Seattle (-8) - Detroit - 43
At Pittsburgh (-10) - Miami - 46
At Green Bay (-4.5) - NY Giants - 44.5
Mike's Best Bets
Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-10): Do I really think that Miami can win this game? Eh, not really. The amount of points being given right now is bananas though. If you are going to hop on this game, do it as soon as possible. If Tannehill is active, the line will shift from +10 to somewhere around +4 or +5.
Now let’s delve a little deeper into this game. Do I think Miami will win? No. Do I think Miami will run the ball effective enough to run out a lot of time early in the game while it’s close? Yes. Miami’s O-line is a week healthier which could be bad for Pittsburgh, though the Steelers have been much better against the run since Jay Ajayi ran all over them (204 yards and 2 TDs on 25 carries). If Moore starts, expect Jarvis Landry to have a lot of targets and Devante Parker to go deep against a weak Pittsburgh secondary. I’ll take the Dolphins +10, but don’t expect them to actually beat the Steelers.
NY Giants @ Green Bay Packers -4.5: Everyone is talking about the Giants being the “surprise team” to advance deep into the playoffs. I never understood how a team can be a “surprise” to advance if everyone is saying the same thing. Or when Aaron Rodgers threw 40 TDs and 7 INTs in a season. Yea, I know the running game isn’t really convincing with Ty Montgomery and Christine Michael, but it’s effective enough when you have the best QB in the league.
In Green Bay on Sunday, there’s a projected high of 15 degrees with a low of 6 degrees. Aaron Rodgers is dealing with a calf injury which may make it more difficult to move around the pocket, especially in the freezing temperatures, but I’ll take the Packers -4.5.
Donald's Best Bets
I, uh, think I took a wrong turn somewhere. Can someone point me to the closest Friendly's? I'm in very serious withdrawal of a chocolate peanut butter cup sundae.
I offered to add a little bit to Mike's article because I already went through this thought process as I contributed to an against-the-spread article on FantasyPros which will be up...soon? No idea when really. Regardless, I'll take the two games left.
Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans (-3.5): Man, this game is going to be fun. Connor Cook vs. Brock Osweiler for the first annual "How the hell did I get here?" trophy.
Considering the quarterbacks in this game, these offenses are pretty similar. They both have very solid receiving weapons, but it remains to be seen if their respective QBs can get them the rock. The running game is solid for both but isn't going to blow anyyone away.
Since the offenses are similar, I took them out of the equation, and thus it becomes a game of defense. Houston ranked first in the league in the regular season in terms of total yards allowed per game with 301.3. Oakland? 26th at 375.1. That's really the only separation I need.
Hopefully Brock can figure it out enough to limp across the finish line a victor.
Detroit Lions (+8) @ Seattle Seahawks: Similar to Mike's take about the Dolphins-Steelers game above, I think Seattle will win, but not by eight. The Lions lost seven games this year, but only two of them were by more than eight points.
Simply put, I think Matt Stafford will keep them in this game, and the Seattle offense has these random bouts of being just awful. Seattle wins, but not by much.
Questions, concerns, comments, or criticisms? @FFMilkman on Twitter! (or @DonaldGibsonFF)