Hey friends, I’m back. I survived traveling through Hurricane Matthew and made it to Aruba. Thankfully, there was just enough sun for my skin to be scorched. I’d like to think that if I can make it through a hurricane, I can make it through the brick wall my picks have seem to hit the last few weeks.
Shout out to our guest-writer Danny Miller for filling in for me last week and for keeping his tradition in kicking me when I’m down.
Any who. I’m going to get straight to the point this week.
Favorite (Line) - Underdog - Total
At New England (-9) - Cincinnati - 47.5
At NY Giants (-3) - Baltimore - 44
Carolina (-2.5) - At New Orleans - 53.5
Pittsburgh (-7.5) - At Miami - 48.5
At Chicago (-2.5) - Jacksonville - 46
At Buffalo(-9) - San Francisco - 44
At Detroit (-3) - Los Angeles - 43.5
At Tennessee (-7) - Cleveland - 43.5
Philadelphia (-2.5) At Washington - 45
Kansas City (-1.5) At Oakland - 47
At Seattle (-6) - Atlanta - 45.5
At Green Bay (-4) - Dallas - 47.5
At Houston (-3) - Indianapolis - 48
At Arizona (-8) - NY Jets - 46.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots -9: I’m not going to overthink this one. New England’s first home game since Brady’s return against a Bengals team that got manhandled by some guy named Pak Descott or something like that. Brady is going to enjoy putting up as many points as possible. The Patriots have a +40 point differential and are 2-1 at home (even with QBs not named Brady) and the Bengals are 1-2 on the road with a -18 point differential. Kinda sounds like the perfect example of how you literally can’t easily predict anything in the NFL anymore. Regardless, you should just ride the Brady “kill everyone” tour until the spreads become a little absurd.
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans -3: This game is going to stink. The only reason I would even remotely think about watching this game would be for fantasy purposes only. This just pick just comes down to win-loss facts. Houston is 3-0 at home and Indy is 0-2 on the road. Let’s hope this trend continues.
If you aren’t feeling either of those picks, I don’t hate Packers -4 at home vs Dallas. Packers have been shutting down the run and will hope to force that Pak Descott guy into chucking the ball to beat them. That and Eddie Lacy has been running well and will look to continue against a poor Dallas Run D. I also like the over 45.5 in the Seattle-Atlanta game. Both offenses are able to score and Seattle’s defense hasn’t been causing as many turnovers as people expected this year.
Questions, concerns, or complaints? Leave a comment or Tweet me at @FFMilkman. Also, be on the look-out for my upcoming article on updated Super Bowl and MVP odds!