We’re coming close to the end of the 2016 NFL season and I hope you’ve begun to trust me, at least a little bit.
Think of each installment over this year as a progression of dates. We started out the season on a few little coffee dates, just feeling each other out. Maybe you cancelled a couple of dates because you weren’t ready for commitment. Maybe you thought you could find someone better. Maybe you can find someone better, but like I’ve said before, you won’t find someone better who will give you everything you could want for free.
If you’re reading this, it means you either committed to this healthy relationship we have or you decided to give me another chance. I’m not perfect, but our overall record of 19-11-3 speaks for itself. Ties don’t matter around here, as you don’t lose any money, so I don’t really factor them in when it comes to winning percentage. All in all, we have a winning percentage of 63.3%, better than the 55% average from most sites.
So now that our relationship has progressed, things are beginning to get serious. You like me, I like you and, to be honest, you might as well pop the question.
My answer is yes, I will be your favorite and (hopefully) most reliable handicapper until death do us part.
Miami (-2.5) - At NY Jets - 37.5
At Dallas (-7) - Tampa Bay - 46.5
At NY Giants (-4) - Detroit - 41
At Baltimore (-6) - Philadelphia - 40.5
Green Bay (-6) - At Chicago - 39.5
At Minnesota (-4.5) - Indianapolis - 45.5
At Buffalo (-10) - Cleveland - 41.5
At Kansas City (-5.5) - Tennessee - 42
At Houston (-6) - Jacksonville - 39.5
At Arizona (-2.5) - New Orleans - 50.5
At Atlanta (-13.5) - San Francisco - N/A
New England (-3) - At Denver - 44
Oakland (-3) - At San Diego - 49.5
Pittsburgh (-3) - At Cincinnati - 44.5
At Washington (-6.5) - Carolina - 51
New England -3 at Denver: New England went to Denver last year and lost, but it almost seems like that was a completely different Denver defense. People don’t realize that you can run on Denver this year and, even though they are still a great pass D, it’s still Tom Brady. New England is also a top 10 defense. Take the Pats, like most weeks.
Oakland at San Diego O/U 49.5: I honestly don’t know who will win this game, but I do know that this combined score is too high, so we’re gonna take the under here. Oakland can score, but Carr looked awful last week. It could be close, but it’ll stay under 49.5.
Detroit at New York Giants (-4): Giants are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 8 games with the only hiccup being two weeks ago versus the Steelers. Detroit is on their own winning streak, but those wins have come against teams like the Bears, the Saints, and the Jaguars. Nothing else really to say about this pick, just kind of a gut feeling, but you’ve learned to trust me, remember?
Questions, concerns, comments, or criticisms? @FFMilkman on Twitter!