Holiday disappointment came a week early this time around. As you may have noticed, I was unable to write up an article last week, and I’m sure you all are devastated.
Hopefully you were able to survive, holding onto the hope that I wouldn’t forget about you this week. Well I’m back, and I’m here to deliver you a Thanksgiving-portion size return on your bets this week (probably).
Favorite (Line) - Underdog - Total
At Detroit (-2.5) - Minnesota - 43
At Dallas (-7) - Washington - 51
Pittsburgh (-9) - At Indianapolis - 47.5
San Diego (-1.5) - At Houston - 46.5
Tennessee (-5) - At Chicago - 42
At Buffalo (-7.5) - Jacksonville - 45
At Baltimore (-4.5) - Cincinnati - 40.5
At Atlanta (-4) - Arizona - 50.5
At Miami (-8) - San Francisco - 45.5
At New Orleans (-7) - Los Angeles - 46
NY Giants (-7) - At Cleveland - 44.5
Seattle (-5.5) - At Tampa Bay - 45
At Oakland (-3.5) - Carolina - 49
At Denver (-3.5) - Kansas City - 39.5
New England (-8) - At NY Jets - 47.5
At Philadelphia (-3.5) - Green Bay - 47.5
Dallas Cowboys -7 At Washington Redskins: You know the song by now. Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott have carried this team to a 9-1 record. What most people don’t realize is that Dallas is also an unprecedented 9-1 ATS (against the spread). Washington is on a roll lately thanks to Kirk Cousins dominating through the air. Dallas is looking like the team that Vegas simply expects to regress, as they never seem to be favored by more than 7 despite having almost a 100 point differential between points for and points against. Zeke, Zeke, Zeke, Zeke.
Tennessee Titans -5 At Chicago Bears (42): Nothing too sexy about this pick. Titans should win versus a stinky Chicago team with a backup QB, despite the fact that not facing Smokin’ Jay Cutler probably decreases the chances of Tennessee winning. I’m also inclined to take the over of 42 also. Tennessee gave up a quick 21 to the Colts last week, something Tennessee has seen a few times this year. And then there’s Chicago’s defense who has surrendered 237 points so far this season, good for almost 24 points a game.
LA Rams +7 at New Orleans Saints: Let me start out by saying that I just do not understand how to bet on New Orleans’ games. It seems like I have gotten the majority of Saints’ games wrong this year, so I understand if you shy away from this pick. On that note, I’m taking the Saints this game. Goff doesn’t look terrible and it is the Saints D, which is usually considered to be bottom five. What most people don’t realize is that New Orleans hasn’t surrendered more than 25 points in the last 4 weeks. I know, not spectacular, but consider this: New Orleans averages over 30 points scored per game over the last four home games. Keep in mind that two of those home games were against Seattle and Denver too. Let’s Geaux Saints?
Questions, concerns, comments, or criticisms? @FFMilkman on Twitter!