Welcome to the first installment of the FantasyFusion betting guide for the 2016 season! I won’t be making selections for every game, but I will be giving you my best picks for the week (hopefully with accuracy).
My goal for the year is to finish at a 60% rate, which will still make you enough of a profit after you pay the juice. If 60% doesn’t sound good enough for you, well then take my job.
Here’s a look at the opening lines of Week 1:
Carolina Panthers (-3, 42) at Denver Broncos
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 47.5)
Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 41) at Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles (-4, 41.5)
Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 41.5) at New York Jets
Oakland Raiders at New Orleans Saints (-1, 51)
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 44.5)
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 44.5)
Chicago Bears at Houston Texans (-6, 44)
Green Bay Packers (-4.5, 48) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5, 44)
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (PK, 46)
Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5, 50.5)
New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals (-6, 47)
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 50) at Washington Redskins
Los Angeles Rams (-2.5, 44) at San Francisco 49ers
Any who, let’s goooo!
Minnesota (-2.5) @ Tennessee
My pick: Minnesota
The opening line probably would have been higher if the Vikings still had Bridgewater at the helm, but I think Bradford can do enough to win by at least 3 in Tennessee. Even if he can’t figure out how to read the playbook with his wonky eye, he can still hand it off to Adrian Peterson. Combine that with Minnesota’s strong defense against a second-year QB with limited weapons, and you should have a couple extra bucks in your pocket.
*Editor's note: Shaun Hill is starting at QB, Line has dropped anywhere from Minnesota -1 or -2 points. Honestly, this makes me a little more confident.*
Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans (-6)
My pick(s): Houston, under 44
Six points seems like a lot for the Texans to cover, but when you think that only about 18% of results are affected by the spread, it makes it a little easier to sleep at night. This game comes down to the trenches for me. Chicago’s O-line is not very good whereas Houston’s D-line is very good. Osweiler did look decent in the preseason, and added playing time with DeAndre Hopkins and Lamar Miller can only help against the poor Chicago defense. I’ll take the under here also.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Washington Redskins
My pick: Pittsburgh
There are some days when you look at the spread and point totals and just say “huh?”. This is that type of day.
The Steelers are really good on offense and the exact opposite on defense. Washington is in the middle of the pack on both sides of the ball. Ultimately, I think Washington comes crashing back to earth after their playoff push last year and it starts against an often-potent Pittsburgh squad. I was tempted to take Under 50 also, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Pittsburgh score 35 and give up 24.