Football season is just flying by. It's Week 8 already. Sheesh.
I may have some juicy trade info later this week. Haven't decided yet. If you really want it, ask for it via Twitter @DonaldGibsonFF, and I'll whip up something for ya.
Also, quick congrats to Arian Foster on an excellent career. Moving on to waivers.
1. Trevor Siemian: Siemian has a slew of lovely matchups on the horizon, as he faces San Diego, Oakland, and New Orleans. There have been plenty of disappointing QBs this year: Carson Palmer, Eli Manning, Brock Osweiler (god bless your soul if you have him on any of your teams). Maybe it's time to stream, and Siemian looks like your guy for the near future.
1. Ty Montgomery (sorta): Montgomery was granted RB eligibility this week, and, if he isn't already owned, go snag him as soon as you can. Montgomery is particularly valuable in PPR leagues, as it seems like the Packers will line him up at RB and throw him the ball half the time, aka basically doing whatever the hell they want.
2. Chris Thompson: Hear that? That's the sound of Matt Jones owners shaking. Thompson had 12 carries for 73 yards compared to 10 carries for 27 yards for Jones, and Thompson added another seven catches for 40 yards. If this is a permanent change (or at least headed in that direction), Thompson's value skyrockets, especially in PPR leagues.
3. Matt Asiata: Jerick McKinnon left the Vikings game with an ankle injury, and one would assume that Asiata becomes the guy. Ronnie Hillman may (and should) get a chance, but Asiata will probably always be the guy on the goal line.
4. Devontae Booker: Booker actually had one more carry that C.J. Anderson, but they were both incredibly efficient. Booker had 17 carries for 83 yards, while CJA had 16 for 107. Each had a TD. If you have CJA, I'd advise that you get Booker. If you don't have CJA, you can probably live without him...unless you're an injury psychic of course.
1. Ty Montgomery (see above)
2. Russell Shepard: It seems like Shepard will be the guy that steps in for Vincent Jackson in Tampa. Shepard caught five of six targets for 77 yards and a score. I still kind of like Adam Humphries long term, but it seems like Shepard should see an increased role.
3. Michael Floyd: Floyd has been baaaaaad this year. Well, vastly unproductive at least. John Brown has been fighting a sickle cell-related leg injury, and Jaron Brown just went down for the season. Floyd hadn't been seeing the field as much as you'd like, but now the Cardinals kinda don't have a choice. There's a good chance he was dropped.
^Sorry for being so in-depth on that last one.
Starts of the Week/DFS Values
So, I used to do these sections separately, but they usually overlapped so now they're together. I hope that's okay with you. Pricing is for DraftKings.
1. Andrew Luck ($6800): I'm not sure if you trust him yet, but ya probably should. He's averaging just under 300 yards per game this season and has multiple touchdowns in 3 of his last 4. Kansas City is giving up a very average 257 passing yards per game, but I think Luck has caught fire. He's not a guy that I'd really consider benching anymore.
2. Jameis Winston ($5700): The Raiders are the worst in the league against the pass, giving up 302 yards per game. That's enough for me. This game is probably going to be a shootout, so buckle up.
3. Trevor Siemian ($5100): Do I write about him every week? Probably. I still like what I see from him, and it seems like his rapport with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders increases every week. San Diego gives up 276 yards per game through the air (ninth-worst), and the Broncos are without C.J. Anderson. I think Booker is more than capable, but they may ease him in for his first game as workhorse.
1. Ezekiel Elliott ($7200): The guy gets fed more than your 78 pound cat. He's a stud, there's no doubt about that. He's here because there's a bit of allure about his price this week. He's just below Christine Michael ($7300) who has a big sexy green "32nd" next to his name, indicating that he has the best possible matchup this week. I think there's a chance that owners opt for Michael over Elliott, which is just fine with me.
2. Matt Forte ($6400): I don't know if I've used Forte at all in DFS this season, and it's because I have no idea what the Jets will do with him. In games that they've won, Forte averages 33 (!) touches per game. In games that they've lost, he's averaged 16.8. Now I'm no mathematician, but it looks like there's a pretty solid correlation between Jets outcomes and Forte's touches. Hopefully they realize that too. OH YEAH AND HE'S PLAYING THE BROWNS.
3. Devontae Booker ($3700): I know, I know. He's going to be really highly owned because of his price and matchup, but it saves you so much money everywhere else that I think I'm fine with it.
1. Julio Jones ($9600): Seems obvious, I know, so I'll be brief. Here are the Packers cornerbacks this week according to their depth chart: Quinten Rollins, Demetri Goodson, LaDarius Gunter, and Josh Hawkins. Yeah no I don't know who they are either. Cool.
2. Brandin Cooks ($7300): You know that devil emoji? Yeah use that here. Like I've mentioned somewhere else on this site, I'm not afraid of using Saints this week. They're playing Seattle, which should make their ownership dive, and I'm all for it. The Saints are excellent at home, plus it only takes one play for Cooks to get loose. Sign me up.
3. Tyler Lockett ($3900) or Jermaine Kearse ($3100): I don't know which one it's going to be, but one of them is going to have a good game. The Saints defense is awful home, away, in London, or on Neptune. I like them as cheap guys with very high ceilings.
4. Adam Humphries ($3000): One of these days, Humphries is going to have another 100 yard game, and at the minimum price, that prospect is enough for me to buy in.
1. Jimmy Graham ($6100): Two things: 1. Saints defense, duh. 2. Revenge games are always fun. Graham used to play for the Saints, and I could see the Seahawks feeding him just to say "Hey, remember this guy? He was kinda good. Ya dinguses."
2. Gary Barnidge ($3300): Josh McCown is probably going to start this week, which means Barnidge's expectations shoot through the roof. Barnidge has a 73% catch rate on the season and has had at least 57 yards in every game since Week 3. If McCown's in, I could see that 57 doubling.
Any questions? Find me on the Twittersphere @DonaldGibsonFF