After suggesting to my colleague that he write a piece called “Fantasy Garbage Pile” consisting of players that he hated, I decided to have some fun with it as well. He already took my obvious choice in Ted Ginn, but I’ll see what else I can do.
I’ve spent most of this draft kit talking about players I don’t like and players whose value is inflated. Well, nothing’s really changing here. I’m just going to try to avoid talking about the people that I already mentioned.
I had a good number of Palmer shares last year, and it was lovely. I’m not sure if it’s the age and durability or the regression or what, but I’m not really on board in 2015. I would love to throw some statistics to back that up, but I don’t have any other than his age: 36 and number of knees: likely 0. Palmer is being drafted as QB7 on FantasyPros, and I have him at QB12.
There’s a good chance that he won’t be drafted as he is currently QB21, but I want no part of Bridgewater in two QB leagues either. Bridgewater, coincidentally, had the 21st most pass attempts last season. He also had 14 touchdowns to nine interceptions.
The volume simply just isn’t there. This is Adrian Peterson’s offense, and I don’t see that changing unless there’s a major injury. Even then, I can’t see Teddy slingin’ it. He’s QB31 for me.
I really have no idea how anyone can comfortably draft Jeremy Hill in 2016. I didn’t have him on any teams last year, but I know he had to be incredibly frustrating to own. We all knew that he would be splitting fairly evenly with Gio Bernard, but it was ugly.
Bernard out-snapped Hill 580 (56%) to 458 (44%) in 2015. Hill never broke 100 yards rushing, averaged 3.6 yards per carry on the season, and caught a WHOPPING 15 balls. I really don’t know what there is to like.
Hill is being drafted at the 47th pick in front of guys like Jonathan Stewart, Ryan Mathews, Dion Lewis, and Matt Jones, all of whom I like more than Hill. You do get the touchdowns with Hill (11 in 2015), but I absolutely hate having a touchdown dependent team.
Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon
Even though Yeldon wasn’t great last year, he was still a quasi-workhorse. Not anymore. Chris Ivory came in and ruined it.
This is a good move for the Jags offense, but I don’t want any part of it. They were extremely successful through the air last season (Blake Bortles was tied for second with 35 passing TDs), and, while I do expect regression there, that may be their crutch in games when they’re losing.
There’s a good chance that one of Ivory and Yeldon is good. If I had to pick…I don’t know which one I would pick. If you’re looking for RB depth, feel free to take a shot on one of them. I just don’t know which one so I’m probably going to pass across the board.
I’m part of the group that thinks that Murray will absolutely be the workhorse on this team, and Henry will spell him occasionally and probably in the red-zone. I’m envisioning at least a 75-25 split in favor of Murray. Henry is currently being drafted at pick 98, and I think that is way too high.
Let me be clear. I do like Robinson. I do expect him to do well in 2016. He isn’t really in the garbage pile. More like sitting on top of the recycle bin.
I’m afraid that I won’t be able to pull the trigger on Robinson in drafts this year because there will most likely be touchdown regression, and there’s a stigma in my head that everyone on the Jaguars is bad – though cognitively I know that isn’t even slightly true.
If Robinson is the best receiver on the board, I have a feeling I’m going to instinctively lean running back or just take Brandin Cooks because I’m a savage.
I know I said I wasn’t going to mention people I already mentioned, but shut up.
Jeffery is being drafted as WR9 in front of Brandon Marshall, Amari Cooper, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Keenan Allen, and T.Y. Hilton. I have every single one of those receivers in front of Jeffery.
He’s already injured, he’s on an iffy offense, and the Kevin White storm is coming. I would need excellent value to draft him.
Travis Kelce and Gary Barnidge
The reasoning behind these two is pretty similar.
They were both very good last year, but I just can’t trust the offenses. I’ll always see the Chiefs as a run-first, run in the red-zone, run on your own 20, run to the sidelines, run to the hotel, run back to Kansas City team.
The Browns are the Browns.
A big issue with these two is the tight ends being drafted around them. FantasyPros ADP currently has Kelce at TE4 followed by Tyler Eifert, Delanie Walker, Coby Fleener, Gary Barnidge, and Ladarius Green.
I’m not a huge fan of Eifert, especially considering his injury, but I’d be more inclined to buy into Walker (94 catches last season), Fleener (now on the pass-heavy Saints), or Green (now on the pass-heavyish Steelers). When in doubt, I side with the offenses I trust.
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