You can almost see it on draft day. In a live draft, the stickers of certain players have an aura about them. You can see a mystical glow that lures you in right away. "You know me. You know what I've done. Go ahead. Take me. Draft me. Let's do this together."
Nope. Throw it in the trash.
Well, maybe not the trash because someone is going to draft them eventually and no one (I MEAN NO ONE) likes dealing with trash juice.
Looking for draft materials? The draft boards and trophies at FantasyJocks.com are trash juice-resistant. Seriously. You'll like what you see.
Big name players tend to get a bump in value just because they have big names. They've earned their big names through a variety of performances and often times stellar careers, but for our purposes in 2016, who cares?
Anyone who drafted Peyton Manning last year already knows what I'm talking about. There were obvious concerns about Peyton's health - if I remember correctly, he finished around QB1 in 2014 and had a ranking of roughly QB6 heading into 2015 (don't fact check me). The concerns were there. It didn't matter. It's Peyton Manning! Arguably the greatest quarterback many of us have ever seen. I actually saw him go ahead of Aaron Rodgers in a draft.
There are plenty of players this year with big names that you need to watch. I'm not saying you can't draft them. Just don't draft them where you would have in the past.
My updated rankings can always be found here or on FantasyPros (along with a ton of other stuff including the ADP figures shown here).
I've already spoken at length about Jamaal Charles here, and he won't be on any of my teams this year. In short, he's coming off another serious knee injury, and his backups last year were just too good. I'm staying away.
Charles used to be a perennial first round pick. FantasyPros has him going at the 14th overall pick. I have him at 30.
I'm still not used to seeing him so low. Simply anecdotally, Demaryius didn't look like himself last year. Granted, part of that probably had to do with Peyton's struggles (at least for part of the year), but there were plenty of times where he just simply couldn't catch the ball.
I'm not saying he's lost it by any means, but he definitely needs to show me that he can produce like his old self (LIKE WHEN TEBOW WAS THROWING HIM THE BALL. AM I RIGHT?!).
Oh yeah, his starting quarterback is Mark Sanchez - who I actually probably like more than most. With that being said, it's still Mark Sanchez. He's probably not going to throw for 4,000 yards. Mr. Thomas is a major question mark heading into 2016.
Thomas used to be an easy top five receiver going probably end of the first round or beginning of the second. Both FantasyPros and myself have him around WR16 and being drafted around pick 32.
Put down your pitchforks and just listen.
Cam was more or less the superstar of the league last year. I'm sure he led plenty of fantasy teams to championships, not to mention almost leading the Panthers to a Super Bowl title. He's good. There's no doubt about that.
This just has more to do with where he gets drafted. I already know that he will go in the first round in some drafts. He'll absolutely get you the points that you so desperately need, but there really isn't any need to take a quarterback that early. You can get guys like Russell Wilson (going 40th overall), Andrew Luck (43rd), Ben Roethlisberger (52nd), and Drew Brees (54th) at much better value.
Try not to get sucked into the excitement that Cam brings to the table. It's probably going to hurt your overall fantasy roster.
In 2015, Matt Forte had the least rushing yards of his career and tied for the least receptions with the Chicago Bears. He's now on the Jets, and I don't really think it's a good thing.
I must admit, I have this innate feeling that the Jets offense is just awful. It really isn't anymore - see the success of Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker last year. I just have this permanent memory of the Jets teams that would have a top five defense and a bottom five offense, and I can't shake it.
The Jets offense should be solid this year. Ryan Fitzpatrick has finally agreed to a contract, and Marshall and Decker are returning along with the obvious addition of Forte. I'm still worried about Forte's age (30) and the fact that he and Bilal Powell (27) are both receiving backs. Forte could have a solid season as a result of involvement in the passing game, but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw an even less productive version of 2015 Matt Forte.
Forte used to be a lock for a pick in the top two rounds. I currently have him at 45th overall; he's being drafted at number 34.
Foster finally signed with the Dolphins a few weeks ago, and I have zero idea what to do with him. My crystal ball (and general common sense) tells me that he's going to get hurt. From a pure skill standpoint, Foster is one of the best running backs in the league. Unfortunately, he can't stay healthy. I have him ranked at RB31 and 86th overall. On FantasyPros, he's going at the 109th overall pick. If you can get that kind of value, go for it.
Honestly I have no idea how he's still playing football at a high level. His lack of upside - no games over 100 rushing yards last year - combined with his close relationship to Cretaceous era fossils is keeping me away (just like it has for the last four years). I have him ranked at 71, and he's being drafted at 74. No thank you.
Here are some other guys whose names may lead to an impulse draft pick. Be sure to do your research on them:
Matt Ryan: Always just so so so so so so so so so so so so so SO average.
Justin Forsett: Getting up there in age and no one has any idea if there will be a workhorse RB in Baltimore
Chris Johnson: Should be conceding most (all) carries to David Johnson
DeSean Jackson: Health always an issue, unsure of his place in that offense
Larry Fitzgerald: Age is a concern, there are a million weapons in Arizona
Jimmy Graham: Coming off injury, wasn't a focal point of the offense last season
I hope you enjoyed my first installment of the Fantasy Fusion draft kit. Be sure to keep coming back this week especially as our draft kit releases on a rolling basis. Of course we'll be inundating you with fantasy football information for the rest of the offseason in preparation for your draft and eventual glory.
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